Netherlands-based research institute, Solar System Geometry Survey (SSGEOS), has recently posted on social media about observed atmospheric fluctuations in parts of and near Pakistan. While some have interpreted these fluctuations as a potential indicator of an impending earthquake, the Dutch scientist behind the claims, Frank Hoogerbeets, has urged caution against drawing conclusions about earthquake predictions.
Atmospheric Fluctuations and Earthquake Speculations
On September 30, 2023, the Solar System Geometry Survey recorded atmospheric fluctuations, including those in regions near Pakistan. Frank Hoogerbeets acknowledged these fluctuations but emphasized that they are not a definitive sign of an impending major earthquake. He cited Morocco as a previous example where similar fluctuations were observed but did not lead to a significant seismic event.
In his earlier social media post, Hoogerbeets mentioned that October 1-3 would be a “more critical” period regarding the indicator for a potential major seismic event. However, he clarified that these indicators should not be misconstrued as certain predictions of a “big earthquake.”
Scientific Dismissal and Caution
Amir Haider Laghari, Director at the National Tsunami Centre Karachi, dismissed the speculations, asserting that the time and location of earthquakes cannot be accurately predicted. He emphasized that earthquakes can occur within the boundary lines of two major tectonic plates passing through Pakistan but are inherently unpredictable.
The United States Geological Survey (USGS) has also previously dismissed similar predictions made by Frank Hoogerbeets, stating that neither the USGS nor any other scientists have the ability to predict major earthquakes. They underscored the current limitations of earthquake prediction in the scientific community.
In summary, while atmospheric fluctuations have raised concerns about a potential earthquake in Pakistan, scientists and experts caution against interpreting these observations as definitive predictions. Earthquake prediction remains a complex and uncertain field, and any claim of foreseeing a major seismic event should be approached with skepticism.
The safety and preparedness of regions prone to earthquakes should always be a priority, regardless of speculative predictions. Public awareness, infrastructure resilience, and disaster response plans play vital roles in mitigating the impact of earthquakes when they occur.
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