In the wake of India’s historically parched August, which witnessed the driest conditions since 1901, a glimmer of hope shines through as the Southwest Monsoon prepares for a powerful revival over the upcoming weekend. Central and southern regions of the nation are anticipated to welcome much-awaited rain, marking a potential turning point for the weather patterns.
Addressing the eager public during a virtual press conference, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, the Director General of the India Meteorological Department (IMD), unveiled a promising forecast. September is poised to usher in a rejuvenation, with rainfall expected to range between 91-109 per cent of the long period average of 167.9 mm. While optimism abounds for the coming month, Mohapatra offered a cautious note, indicating that despite any upsurge in September, the cumulative June-September seasonal rainfall could still fall below normal.
The enigmatic dance of nature is governed by a multitude of factors, and Mohapatra identified the development of El Nino conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean as the chief culprit behind August’s drought-like conditions. However, a silver lining emerges on the horizon. The Indian Ocean Dipole, characterized by fluctuations in sea surface temperatures between the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal, has begun to take a positive turn. This shift holds the potential to counteract the lingering effects of El Nino.