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Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Develops New Modeling Tool to Assess Nuclear Asteroid Deflection Strategies

For years, the idea of using nuclear weapons to deflect or destroy incoming asteroids has been met with skepticism and caution due to the potential risks associated with such an approach. However, researchers at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) have developed a groundbreaking modeling tool that could shed light on the viability of nuclear ablation as a potential asteroid deflection strategy.

Conventionally, the use of nuclear devices on asteroids was believed to result in fragmentation, creating multiple threats instead of eliminating the primary one. However, LLNL’s new modeling tool, known as the X-ray energy deposition model, delves into the intricate dynamics of how radiation from a nuclear blast interacts with the surface of an asteroid. The tool also considers shockwave dynamics and how they might affect the inner structure of the asteroid.

One of the techniques explored by LLNL researchers is nuclear ablation, where the blast’s radiation vaporizes part of the asteroid’s surface. This process generates an explosive thrust, causing a change in velocity. This modeling tool can simulate a wide range of initial conditions, incorporating different asteroid compositions, from solid rocks to rubble piles.

Mary Burkey, a researcher from LLNL, explained, “If we have enough warning time, we could potentially launch a nuclear device, sending it millions of miles away to an asteroid that is headed toward Earth. We would then detonate the device and either deflect the asteroid, keeping it intact but providing a controlled push away from Earth, or we could disrupt the asteroid, breaking it up into small, fast-moving fragments that would also miss the planet.”

The research builds upon the insights gained from the Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission, where a kinetic impactor was intentionally crashed into an asteroid to alter its trajectory. The X-ray energy deposition model provides scientists with a powerful tool to explore nuclear ablation as a potential alternative to kinetic impact missions.

Nuclear devices are considered to have the highest ratio of energy density per unit of mass among human technologies, making them a potentially invaluable tool for mitigating asteroid threats. The modeling tool allows for the efficient and accurate simulation of nuclear deflection for various physical properties of an asteroid.

The LLNL team’s high-fidelity simulations can track photons penetrating surfaces of asteroid-like materials such as rock, iron, and ice while considering complex processes such as reradiation. The model’s comprehensive approach makes it applicable to a wide range of potential asteroid scenarios.

While the probability of a large asteroid impact during our lifetime is considered low, the consequences could be devastating. Megan Bruck Syal, LLNL’s planetary defense project lead, emphasized the critical role of high-fidelity simulation modeling in providing decision-makers with actionable, risk-informed information in the event of a planetary defense emergency.

As our understanding of potential asteroid threats evolves, the development of advanced tools like the X-ray energy deposition model marks a significant step toward enhancing our preparedness and response capabilities.

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Reference: https://www.sciencealert.com/scientists-reveal-what-a-nuclear-explosion-would-do-to-an-asteroid

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