A dire warning from scientists has raised concerns about the possibility of a catastrophic volcanic eruption with the potential to disrupt life as we know it. Experts estimate a one-in-six chance of such an event occurring within this century, which could rival the infamous eruption of Mount Tambora in 1815. This eruption, the most powerful in recorded history, plunged the planet into a “year without summer,” causing widespread famine and climate chaos.
Dr. Markus Stoffel, a climate professor at the University of Geneva, highlighted the devastating impact of Tambora’s eruption. Speaking to our reporter, he explained that the volcanic event ejected 24 cubic miles of gases, dust, and rock into the atmosphere, resulting in a 1°C drop in the Northern Hemisphere’s average temperature. “It’s a more unstable world now. The effects might be even worse than we saw back in 1815,” Dr. Stoffel cautioned.
The looming threat of such a disaster is compounded by the accelerating pace of climate change. Scientists warn that melting ice caps, driven by rising global temperatures, reduce pressure on magma chambers, potentially increasing the frequency of volcanic eruptions. Intense rainfall, another byproduct of climate change, can seep deep underground, interacting with magma and triggering activity.
Despite the potential for temporary global cooling following a massive eruption, scientists urge against viewing this as a silver lining. Any cooling would be short-lived, and the planet would quickly return to its warming trajectory due to persistent greenhouse gas emissions.
The economic implications of a massive volcanic eruption are staggering. Experts estimate that global losses could run into trillions of dollars, disrupting industries, agriculture, and supply chains. The environmental consequences, including ash clouds and atmospheric changes, would pose severe challenges to ecosystems and human survival.
Dr. Stoffel emphasized the lack of preparedness for such a scenario. “Humanity does not have any plan,” he warned, underscoring the urgency for proactive measures. He called for comprehensive disaster planning, including evacuation strategies, food aid systems, and the construction of disaster shelters.
The warning comes on the heels of the Kilauea volcano’s latest eruption in Hawaii. One of the world’s most active volcanoes, Kilauea erupted again this year, spewing lava columns 80 meters (260 feet) into the air. This marks its second eruption in 2024, following a five-day event in June.
Hawaii’s Kilauea is one of six active volcanoes in the Hawaiian Islands, alongside Mauna Loa, the largest volcano on Earth. While Mauna Loa is larger, Kilauea’s frequent activity keeps it in the global spotlight.
As scientists sound the alarm about a potentially apocalyptic future, they hope to galvanize public and policymaker action. Dr. Stoffel stressed that comprehensive preparation could mitigate the impact of a catastrophic eruption. “From evacuation plans to food aid and shelter, every aspect of disaster management needs rethinking,” he urged.
The specter of a massive volcanic eruption serves as a stark reminder of humanity’s vulnerability to natural disasters. With the dual threats of climate change and geophysical instability, experts are calling for immediate action to safeguard the planet’s future.
